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Trader leaderboard/Fermatter

Fermatter

0x0d097318ea10c5f82d32eb1499b2a53c0487dd55
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$35
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
28W / 4L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
88%
29W / 4L
Trades (30d)
33
across 5 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$8.73
avg win $40 · loss $84
Profit Factor
1.42
$119 won / $84 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,609 · all-time $602,298

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.2% 1,279W/714L 527 $18,203
₿ Crypto 33.6% 74W/146L 94 $981
🏛 Politics — 10 $358
🎬 Culture — 5 $176
⚽ Sports — 1 $22
💵 Economy — 1 $46

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

59 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,525 0.209 $1,366.99 $1,288.00 +1630.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,975 0.117 $812.58 $610.04 +301.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,250 0.135 $706.13 $647.45 +1103.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,200 0.088 $548.70 $488.09 +805.3%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,525 0.090 $500.01 $456.85 +1058.5%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No 324 0.830 $268.92 $14.61 +5.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,200 0.025 $132.07 $83.69 +173.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,200 0.025 $127.40 $85.94 +207.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,451 0.044 $109.05 $70.28 +181.3%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 210 0.405 $85.05 $-9.55 -10.1%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4,836 0.015 $74.95 $37.18 +98.4%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4,919 0.013 $61.49 $19.32 +45.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 100 0.545 $54.50 $8.50 +18.5%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4,866 0.011 $51.09 $13.08 +34.4%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,836 0.009 $49.60 $4.01 +8.8%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50 0.978 $48.89 $0.02 +0.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7AM ET Down 196 0.245 $48.03 $-47.07 -49.5%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,142 0.009 $43.71 $3.54 +8.8%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,623 0.015 $39.35 $18.85 +92.0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,428 0.006 $35.28 $-7.12 -16.8%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,600 0.013 $35.10 $14.79 +72.8%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,399 0.006 $35.09 $-7.08 -16.8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8AM ET Down 65 0.500 $32.50 $0.65 +2.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 200 0.135 $27.00 $-33.00 -55.0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4,882 0.005 $26.85 $-11.29 -29.6%