| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
247 |
0.635 |
$156.81 |
$-33.34 |
-17.5% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
No |
251 |
0.430 |
$108.08 |
$-26.92 |
-19.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
136 |
0.625 |
$85.26 |
$-14.74 |
-14.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
99 |
0.835 |
$82.34 |
$12.95 |
+18.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
223 |
0.365 |
$81.42 |
$-8.58 |
-9.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
210 |
0.364 |
$76.66 |
$-23.34 |
-23.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
91 |
0.705 |
$64.08 |
$-3.42 |
-5.1% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.997 |
$60.47 |
$10.47 |
+20.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
68 |
0.875 |
$59.84 |
$-1.16 |
-1.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
68 |
0.725 |
$48.98 |
$-1.02 |
-2.0% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
51 |
0.875 |
$44.81 |
$1.81 |
+4.2% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
45 |
1.000 |
$44.65 |
$4.65 |
+11.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.976 |
$44.44 |
$4.44 |
+11.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
159 |
0.205 |
$32.59 |
$-43.41 |
-57.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.963 |
$26.07 |
$1.07 |
+4.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
23 |
0.885 |
$20.35 |
$0.35 |
+1.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
99 |
0.205 |
$20.25 |
$-24.75 |
-55.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.645 |
$19.85 |
$-0.15 |
-0.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.725 |
$18.65 |
$-1.35 |
-6.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
49 |
0.375 |
$18.36 |
$-12.89 |
-41.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
46 |
0.375 |
$17.09 |
$-3.91 |
-18.6% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
Yes |
28 |
0.570 |
$15.69 |
$-4.31 |
-21.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
116 |
0.105 |
$12.23 |
$-28.77 |
-70.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.655 |
$12.19 |
$-0.81 |
-6.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? |
Yes |
12 |
0.880 |
$10.48 |
$0.48 |
+4.8% |