| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
247 |
0.527 |
$130.19 |
$-59.96 |
-31.5% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
No |
251 |
0.430 |
$108.08 |
$-26.92 |
-19.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
136 |
0.680 |
$92.76 |
$-7.24 |
-7.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
223 |
0.375 |
$83.65 |
$-6.35 |
-7.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
99 |
0.835 |
$82.34 |
$12.95 |
+18.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
91 |
0.695 |
$63.17 |
$-4.34 |
-6.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
196 |
0.320 |
$62.68 |
$-62.32 |
-49.9% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.997 |
$60.50 |
$10.50 |
+21.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
68 |
0.865 |
$59.16 |
$-1.84 |
-3.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
68 |
0.725 |
$48.98 |
$-1.02 |
-2.0% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
51 |
0.880 |
$45.06 |
$2.06 |
+4.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.976 |
$44.47 |
$4.47 |
+11.2% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.994 |
$44.41 |
$4.41 |
+11.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
159 |
0.215 |
$34.18 |
$-41.82 |
-55.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.960 |
$25.99 |
$0.99 |
+4.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
99 |
0.220 |
$21.73 |
$-23.27 |
-51.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
23 |
0.885 |
$20.35 |
$0.35 |
+1.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.650 |
$20.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.705 |
$18.14 |
$-1.86 |
-9.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
46 |
0.385 |
$17.55 |
$-3.45 |
-16.4% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
Yes |
28 |
0.570 |
$15.69 |
$-4.31 |
-21.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.635 |
$11.82 |
$-1.18 |
-9.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
116 |
0.100 |
$11.65 |
$-29.36 |
-71.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? |
Yes |
12 |
0.880 |
$10.48 |
$0.48 |
+4.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.964 |
$10.47 |
$0.47 |
+4.7% |