| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.982 |
$14.21 |
$0.33 |
+2.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
10 |
0.945 |
$9.13 |
$0.40 |
+4.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
6 |
1.000 |
$5.67 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.930 |
$4.22 |
$0.66 |
+18.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
9 |
0.445 |
$3.91 |
$-0.22 |
-5.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
4 |
0.930 |
$3.83 |
$0.33 |
+9.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.855 |
$3.35 |
$0.43 |
+14.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
7 |
0.445 |
$2.94 |
$-0.17 |
-5.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
3 |
0.960 |
$2.62 |
$0.28 |
+11.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
3 |
0.927 |
$2.53 |
$0.16 |
+6.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.905 |
$2.51 |
$0.10 |
+4.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
3 |
0.963 |
$2.42 |
$0.06 |
+2.4% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
2 |
0.993 |
$2.31 |
$0.25 |
+12.4% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? |
Yes |
3 |
0.610 |
$1.62 |
$0.17 |
+11.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
56 |
0.025 |
$1.36 |
$-10.01 |
-88.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.485 |
$1.32 |
$0.23 |
+21.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1 |
0.900 |
$1.13 |
$0.11 |
+11.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.680 |
$1.12 |
$0.07 |
+6.2% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group |
Nongshim Red Force |
2 |
0.455 |
$1.05 |
$-0.54 |
-34.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.042 |
$0.74 |
$-3.56 |
-82.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
21 |
0.003 |
$0.06 |
$-9.00 |
-99.3% |