| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.981 |
$14.19 |
$0.31 |
+2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
10 |
0.945 |
$9.13 |
$0.40 |
+4.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
6 |
1.000 |
$5.67 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.930 |
$4.22 |
$0.66 |
+18.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
9 |
0.445 |
$3.91 |
$-0.22 |
-5.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
4 |
0.920 |
$3.79 |
$0.29 |
+8.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.855 |
$3.35 |
$0.43 |
+14.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
7 |
0.445 |
$2.94 |
$-0.17 |
-5.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
3 |
0.960 |
$2.62 |
$0.28 |
+11.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
3 |
0.927 |
$2.53 |
$0.16 |
+6.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.905 |
$2.51 |
$0.10 |
+4.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
3 |
0.963 |
$2.42 |
$0.06 |
+2.4% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
2 |
0.993 |
$2.31 |
$0.25 |
+12.4% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? |
Yes |
3 |
0.605 |
$1.60 |
$0.15 |
+10.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
56 |
0.024 |
$1.33 |
$-10.04 |
-88.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.485 |
$1.32 |
$0.23 |
+21.2% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group |
Nongshim Red Force |
2 |
0.505 |
$1.17 |
$-0.43 |
-26.8% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.680 |
$1.12 |
$0.07 |
+6.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1 |
0.885 |
$1.11 |
$0.09 |
+9.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.042 |
$0.74 |
$-3.56 |
-82.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
21 |
0.003 |
$0.06 |
$-9.00 |
-99.3% |