Trader
0x0b482c0616a68f076d3bf1128e040336714b0415
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$80
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+370.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
2W / 5L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
2W / 7L
Trades (30d)
9
across 3 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$39.99
avg win $87 · loss $7
Profit Factor
13.10
$87 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
13.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $97,350
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
50 |
0.455 |
$22.75 |
$16.75 |
+279.2% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
115 |
0.170 |
$19.59 |
$-25.60 |
-56.6% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
100 |
0.055 |
$5.50 |
$-15.30 |
-73.6% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.997 |
$2.85 |
$1.22 |
+74.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? |
No |
5 |
0.500 |
$2.50 |
$0.50 |
+25.0% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.075 |
$1.50 |
$-2.90 |
-65.9% |