PnL (30d)

+$291

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+59.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

8W / 36L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

17%

8W / 38L

Trades (30d)

46

across 22 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$13.86

avg win $126 · loss $13

Profit Factor

2.36

$504 won / $213 lost

Reward / Risk

10.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$31

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.2% 8W/36L	22	$972
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$10
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$4
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50	0.465	$23.25	$17.25	+287.5%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	115	0.170	$19.59	$-25.60	-56.6%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	Yes	100	0.055	$5.50	$-15.30	-73.6%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	No	3	0.997	$2.85	$1.22	+74.8%
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	5	0.500	$2.50	$0.50	+25.0%
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.075	$1.50	$-2.90	-65.9%