.yumeko
0x0b13ffcfaa14fdf81196a961e1c5750b697a5957
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$7,902
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+104.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
42W / 12L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
50W / 14L
Trades (30d)
64
across 12 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$878.01
avg win $2,427 · loss $361
Profit Factor
5.37
$9,709 won / $1,807 lost
Reward / Risk
6.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$561
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $69,526 · all-time $2,184,812
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,136 |
0.250 |
$1,033.88 |
$230.30 |
+28.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
1,777 |
0.070 |
$124.37 |
$-229.13 |
-64.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
3,060 |
0.024 |
$73.44 |
$-427.96 |
-85.4% |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
14,713 |
0.002 |
$22.07 |
$-37.69 |
-63.1% |