PnL (30d)

+$3,433

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$483

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+13.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

81W / 48L · 18 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

96W / 51L

Trades (30d)

147

across 19 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$245.23

avg win $1,956 · loss $705

Profit Factor

1.54

$9,778 won / $6,345 lost

Reward / Risk

2.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,040

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.8% 81W/48L	19	$51,971
🏛 Politics	60.0% 6W/4L	6	$14,327
💵 Economy	75.0% 6W/2L	3	$13,875

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4,136	0.250	$1,033.88	$230.30	+28.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	1,777	0.080	$142.13	$-211.36	-59.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	Yes	3,060	0.024	$73.44	$-427.96	-85.4%
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	14,713	0.002	$22.07	$-37.69	-63.1%