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Trader leaderboard/Pitchforkk

Pitchforkk

0x0a53282124062874b45d6489a95a26f62c6d7a6f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,569
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
108W / 7L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
126W / 20L
Trades (30d)
146
across 19 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$120.69
avg win $205 · loss $70
Profit Factor
6.60
$1,849 won / $280 lost
Reward / Risk
2.93
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$278
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,277 · all-time $1,486,789

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 87.5% 405W/58L 82 $87,414
🏛 Politics 50.0% 6W/6L 8 $4,389
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 1 $909
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $503

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 4,299 1.000 $4,296.99 $1,277.40 +42.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 2,573 0.999 $2,568.70 $120.57 +4.9%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 2,762 0.705 $1,947.05 $242.89 +14.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 2,975 0.458 $1,360.99 $98.46 +7.8%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 1,595 0.675 $1,076.88 $58.84 +5.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,600 0.655 $1,048.00 $40.00 +4.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 803 0.775 $622.04 $60.20 +10.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 347 0.685 $237.87 $52.25 +28.1%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 194 0.910 $176.10 $9.68 +5.8%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 570 0.290 $165.19 $7.28 +4.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? Yes 96 0.999 $95.68 $8.48 +9.7%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? Yes 53 0.365 $19.26 $1.85 +10.6%