| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
4,299 |
1.000 |
$4,296.99 |
$1,277.40 |
+42.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
2,573 |
0.999 |
$2,568.70 |
$120.57 |
+4.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
2,762 |
0.705 |
$1,947.05 |
$242.89 |
+14.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2,975 |
0.455 |
$1,352.07 |
$89.53 |
+7.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,595 |
0.675 |
$1,076.88 |
$58.84 |
+5.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.645 |
$1,032.00 |
$24.00 |
+2.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
803 |
0.785 |
$630.07 |
$68.23 |
+12.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
411 |
0.895 |
$367.76 |
$14.38 |
+4.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
347 |
0.690 |
$239.57 |
$53.95 |
+29.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
570 |
0.290 |
$165.19 |
$7.28 |
+4.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
96 |
0.999 |
$95.68 |
$8.48 |
+9.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
53 |
0.365 |
$19.26 |
$1.85 |
+10.6% |