RIC25
0x09e672e5993de19f84fbd9a1cc2e298fdc5b24a1
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$969
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$234
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-55.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
8%
1W / 11L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
6%
1W / 17L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
19
across 8 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$242.31
avg win $54 · loss $341
Profit Factor
0.05
$54 won / $1,023 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,338 · all-time $1,156,965
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
710 |
0.240 |
$170.49 |
$-141.71 |
-45.4% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
559 |
0.240 |
$134.24 |
$-83.07 |
-38.2% |
| Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.905 |
$25.34 |
$2.10 |
+9.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? |
Yes |
129 |
0.115 |
$14.84 |
$-14.84 |
-50.0% |