PnL (30d)

−$940

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$355

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-26.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

8W / 21L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

14W / 28L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

43

across 17 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$85.47

avg win $43 · loss $192

Profit Factor

0.19

$215 won / $1,155 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	27.6% 8W/21L	17	$6,607
🤖 Tech	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$497
₿ Crypto	—	1	$495

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	710	0.240	$170.49	$-141.71	-45.4%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	559	0.235	$131.44	$-85.87	-39.5%
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	28	0.905	$25.34	$2.10	+9.0%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	Yes	129	0.125	$16.12	$-13.54	-45.7%