| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
765 |
0.991 |
$758.21 |
$34.07 |
+4.7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
679 |
0.977 |
$663.21 |
$109.23 |
+19.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
555 |
0.945 |
$524.23 |
$59.66 |
+12.8% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? |
No |
436 |
0.920 |
$401.50 |
$13.14 |
+3.4% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
372 |
0.934 |
$347.46 |
$18.60 |
+5.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.815 |
$325.96 |
$-10.04 |
-3.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
350 |
0.461 |
$161.17 |
$-45.37 |
-22.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.973 |
$97.30 |
$11.30 |
+13.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.875 |
$87.50 |
$5.50 |
+6.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
474 |
0.155 |
$73.54 |
$-117.33 |
-61.5% |
| Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings |
Yes |
64 |
0.965 |
$61.76 |
$-0.32 |
-0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
51 |
0.845 |
$43.08 |
$6.91 |
+19.1% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
46 |
0.685 |
$31.21 |
$2.52 |
+8.8% |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? |
No |
31 |
0.918 |
$28.69 |
$2.32 |
+8.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
220 |
0.130 |
$28.60 |
$-16.20 |
-36.2% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
23 |
0.740 |
$16.77 |
$1.77 |
+11.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.655 |
$13.10 |
$-0.30 |
-2.2% |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? |
Yes |
13 |
0.930 |
$11.76 |
$2.45 |
+26.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
110 |
0.085 |
$9.35 |
$-29.17 |
-75.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
9 |
0.999 |
$9.16 |
$3.49 |
+61.4% |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.665 |
$6.65 |
$2.05 |
+44.6% |
| EU dissolves before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.978 |
$6.16 |
$0.11 |
+1.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
40 |
0.150 |
$6.00 |
$-5.20 |
-46.4% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? |
No |
6 |
0.995 |
$5.52 |
$1.50 |
+37.4% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
7 |
0.745 |
$5.19 |
$4.60 |
+768.0% |