| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
765 |
0.991 |
$758.21 |
$34.07 |
+4.7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
679 |
0.977 |
$663.21 |
$109.23 |
+19.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
555 |
0.945 |
$524.23 |
$59.66 |
+12.8% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? |
No |
436 |
0.920 |
$401.50 |
$13.14 |
+3.4% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
372 |
0.933 |
$347.27 |
$18.42 |
+5.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.835 |
$334.00 |
$-2.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
350 |
0.460 |
$160.82 |
$-45.72 |
-22.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
474 |
0.215 |
$102.01 |
$-88.86 |
-46.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.972 |
$97.15 |
$11.15 |
+13.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.875 |
$87.50 |
$5.50 |
+6.7% |
| Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings |
Yes |
64 |
0.966 |
$61.79 |
$-0.29 |
-0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
51 |
0.835 |
$42.57 |
$6.40 |
+17.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
220 |
0.145 |
$31.90 |
$-12.90 |
-28.8% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
46 |
0.685 |
$31.21 |
$2.52 |
+8.8% |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? |
No |
31 |
0.918 |
$28.69 |
$2.32 |
+8.8% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
23 |
0.725 |
$16.43 |
$1.43 |
+9.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.660 |
$13.20 |
$-0.20 |
-1.5% |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? |
Yes |
13 |
0.930 |
$11.76 |
$2.45 |
+26.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
110 |
0.100 |
$11.00 |
$-27.52 |
-71.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
9 |
0.999 |
$9.16 |
$3.48 |
+61.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
40 |
0.175 |
$7.00 |
$-4.20 |
-37.5% |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.665 |
$6.65 |
$2.05 |
+44.6% |
| EU dissolves before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.978 |
$6.16 |
$0.11 |
+1.9% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? |
No |
6 |
0.995 |
$5.52 |
$1.50 |
+37.4% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
7 |
0.745 |
$5.20 |
$4.60 |
+768.6% |