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Trader leaderboard/rocky42022

rocky42022

0x08ceded238219b4b3fff04e00a4778d839d4f301
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$209
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$116
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+21.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
5W / 0L · 71 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
23W / 53L
Trades (30d)
76
across 6 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$208.77
avg win $209
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,407 · all-time $8,440,720

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.6% 1,310W/1,624L 265 $83,780
⚽ Sports 65.7% 46W/24L 16 $2,050
🌤 Weather 60.4% 58W/38L 8 $1,253
🏛 Politics 6 $1,024
🤖 Tech 2 $1,403
💵 Economy 2 $647
🎬 Culture 2 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

113 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 811 0.905 $734.01 $553.58 +306.8%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? No 269 0.996 $268.21 $180.64 +206.3%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No 199 0.961 $191.30 $2.29 +1.2%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 1,199 0.145 $173.88 $-31.56 -15.4%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes 299 0.370 $110.73 $9.70 +9.6%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No 93 0.975 $91.08 $0.51 +0.6%
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 100 0.905 $90.50 $-2.50 -2.7%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? No 112 0.780 $87.15 $41.34 +90.2%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 913 0.095 $86.77 $-54.44 -38.6%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 279 0.298 $83.36 $-4.61 -5.2%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No 86 0.942 $81.40 $37.92 +87.2%
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 96 0.824 $79.10 $-0.77 -1.0%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 75 0.950 $71.11 $7.47 +11.7%
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? Yes 84 0.705 $59.22 $-0.42 -0.7%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? Yes 247 0.235 $58.08 $-8.65 -13.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 827 0.070 $57.87 $-72.21 -55.5%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? No 311 0.185 $57.63 $-55.39 -49.0%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? No 84 0.680 $56.99 $29.79 +109.5%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? Yes 300 0.165 $49.43 $13.59 +37.9%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 459 0.098 $44.77 $-187.60 -80.7%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No 139 0.315 $43.75 $0.47 +1.1%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30? Yes 117 0.335 $39.20 $-6.43 -14.1%
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 846 0.044 $37.64 $-265.94 -87.6%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? Yes 157 0.220 $34.51 $-26.11 -43.1%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? Yes 93 0.320 $29.76 $-32.58 -52.3%