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Trader leaderboard/rocky42022

rocky42022

0x08ceded238219b4b3fff04e00a4778d839d4f301
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$26
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
312W / 264L · 28 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
331W / 264L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
604
across 57 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$0.51
avg win $63 · loss $84
Profit Factor
0.99
$1,819 won / $1,845 lost
Reward / Risk
0.75
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$34
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,342 · all-time $8,440,655

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.6% 1,310W/1,624L 265 $83,780
⚽ Sports 65.7% 46W/24L 16 $2,050
🏛 Politics 8 $1,284
🌤 Weather 60.4% 58W/38L 8 $1,253
🎬 Culture 3 $19
💵 Economy 2 $834
🤖 Tech 2 $1,403

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

113 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 811 0.905 $734.01 $553.58 +306.8%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? No 269 0.997 $268.48 $180.91 +206.6%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No 199 0.961 $191.30 $2.29 +1.2%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 1,199 0.155 $185.88 $-19.57 -9.5%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes 299 0.370 $110.73 $9.70 +9.6%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No 93 0.975 $91.08 $0.51 +0.6%
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 100 0.900 $90.00 $-3.00 -3.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? No 112 0.780 $87.15 $41.34 +90.2%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 913 0.095 $86.77 $-54.44 -38.6%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 279 0.298 $83.36 $-4.61 -5.2%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No 86 0.943 $81.49 $38.01 +87.4%
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 96 0.822 $78.86 $-1.01 -1.3%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 75 0.945 $70.73 $7.09 +11.1%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? No 311 0.210 $65.41 $-47.61 -42.1%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? Yes 247 0.250 $61.79 $-4.94 -7.4%
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? Yes 84 0.705 $59.22 $-0.42 -0.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 827 0.070 $57.87 $-72.21 -55.5%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? No 84 0.640 $53.64 $26.44 +97.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? Yes 300 0.165 $49.43 $13.59 +37.9%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 459 0.097 $44.32 $-188.06 -80.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No 139 0.315 $43.75 $0.47 +1.1%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30? Yes 117 0.330 $38.61 $-7.02 -15.4%
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 846 0.044 $37.64 $-265.94 -87.6%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? Yes 157 0.220 $34.51 $-26.11 -43.1%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? Yes 93 0.360 $33.48 $-28.86 -46.3%