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Trader leaderboard/froguser

froguser

0x08945ab0434cc8574c5b1588ebe5ef061f34d819
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$31
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+9.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
2W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
29%
2W / 5L
Trades (30d)
7
across 2 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$15.33
avg win $245 · loss $215
Profit Factor
1.14
$245 won / $215 lost
Reward / Risk
1.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$215
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,441 · all-time $452,247

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.0% 51W/30L 32 $18,964
🏛 Politics 48.3% 14W/15L 8 $5,030
🎬 Culture 48.3% 14W/15L 8 $5,030
💵 Economy 28.6% 2W/5L 2 $379
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/6L 2 $2,281

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No 2,500 0.760 $1,899.97 $-225.00 -10.6%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 1,750 0.790 $1,382.50 $572.51 +70.7%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 3,455 0.357 $1,233.50 $757.40 +159.1%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 1,000 0.974 $974.00 $64.00 +7.0%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 1,000 0.943 $943.00 $72.00 +8.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,000 0.365 $730.00 $30.00 +4.3%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 1,900 0.320 $607.99 $-57.00 -8.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.086 $427.50 $112.50 +35.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 7,868 0.041 $322.57 $3.62 +1.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.052 $262.50 $62.50 +31.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,800 0.145 $261.00 $9.00 +3.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,500 0.143 $215.25 $14.25 +7.1%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 113 0.975 $110.12 $92.26 +516.8%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 250 0.255 $63.74 $-76.24 -54.5%
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.190 $57.00 $-126.00 -68.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? Yes 4,000 0.003 $10.00 $-661.00 -98.5%
Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.090 $9.00 $-46.00 -83.6%
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes 50 0.110 $5.50 $-1.50 -21.4%