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Trader leaderboard/froguser

froguser

0x08945ab0434cc8574c5b1588ebe5ef061f34d819
PnL (30d)
+$2,146
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$81
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+22.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
51W / 30L · 74 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
98W / 49L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
155
across 30 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$112.95
avg win $449 · loss $260
Profit Factor
1.92
$4,486 won / $2,340 lost
Reward / Risk
1.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,168
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,271 · all-time $452,077

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.0% 51W/30L 30 $18,270
🏛 Politics 48.3% 14W/15L 8 $5,030
🎬 Culture 48.3% 14W/15L 8 $5,030
💵 Economy 28.6% 2W/5L 2 $379
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/6L 2 $2,281

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No 2,500 0.760 $1,899.97 $-225.00 -10.6%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 1,750 0.785 $1,373.75 $563.76 +69.6%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 3,455 0.358 $1,236.96 $760.85 +159.8%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 1,000 0.974 $974.00 $64.00 +7.0%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 1,000 0.941 $940.50 $69.50 +8.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,000 0.365 $730.00 $30.00 +4.3%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 1,900 0.325 $617.49 $-47.50 -7.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.086 $427.50 $112.50 +35.7%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.053 $267.50 $67.50 +33.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,800 0.145 $261.00 $9.00 +3.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,500 0.143 $215.25 $14.25 +7.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 2,992 0.043 $127.15 $12.98 +11.4%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 113 0.825 $93.22 $75.37 +422.2%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 250 0.255 $63.74 $-76.24 -54.5%
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.185 $55.50 $-127.50 -69.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? Yes 4,000 0.003 $10.00 $-661.00 -98.5%
Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.090 $9.00 $-46.00 -83.6%
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes 50 0.110 $5.50 $-1.50 -21.4%