pendejos1.1
0x084a6cf34c558258339d243f7ad15f5c665b2a51
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
1W / 2L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
3W / 2L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
11
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.60
avg win $3 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.74
$3 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.74
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $196 · all-time $133,834
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
132 |
0.360 |
$47.42 |
$-2.58 |
-5.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
206 |
0.165 |
$33.99 |
$-39.27 |
-53.6% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10 |
0.460 |
$4.59 |
$0.64 |
+16.3% |
| Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.160 |
$3.20 |
$-4.60 |
-59.0% |