PnL (30d)

−$48

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

29%

95W / 231L · 111 open

Win Return (30d)

32%

115W / 250L · 72 open

Trades (30d)

437

across 138 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.49

avg win $3 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.59

$68 won / $116 lost

Reward / Risk

1.69

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	29.1% 95W/231L	138	$3,430
⚽ Sports	54.5% 6W/5L	7	$15
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	3	$28
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	3	$28
₿ Crypto	—	2	$308

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	132	0.360	$47.42	$-2.58	-5.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	206	0.155	$31.93	$-41.33	-56.4%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10	0.460	$4.59	$0.64	+16.3%
Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	20	0.160	$3.20	$-4.60	-59.0%