| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,603 |
0.760 |
$2,738.18 |
$172.00 |
+6.7% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? |
No |
106 |
0.422 |
$44.55 |
$-5.45 |
-10.9% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
109 |
0.395 |
$42.93 |
$-7.07 |
-14.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
96 |
0.370 |
$35.45 |
$-4.55 |
-11.4% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
No |
62 |
0.495 |
$30.94 |
$10.94 |
+54.7% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
42 |
0.660 |
$27.73 |
$2.73 |
+10.9% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: August |
Something |
133 |
0.190 |
$25.33 |
$5.33 |
+26.7% |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? |
No |
59 |
0.395 |
$23.24 |
$3.24 |
+16.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
53 |
0.440 |
$23.16 |
$3.16 |
+15.8% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
No |
53 |
0.430 |
$22.63 |
$2.63 |
+13.2% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
No |
30 |
0.715 |
$21.34 |
$1.34 |
+6.7% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
43 |
0.465 |
$19.79 |
$-0.21 |
-1.1% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
43 |
0.460 |
$19.78 |
$-0.21 |
-1.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
67 |
0.290 |
$19.33 |
$-0.67 |
-3.3% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August? |
No |
72 |
0.255 |
$18.40 |
$-1.60 |
-8.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
95 |
0.185 |
$17.62 |
$-2.38 |
-11.9% |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? |
No |
73 |
0.235 |
$17.21 |
$-2.79 |
-14.0% |
| Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in August? |
No |
43 |
0.380 |
$16.16 |
$6.16 |
+61.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.150 |
$15.79 |
$-4.21 |
-21.1% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
No |
69 |
0.225 |
$15.52 |
$-4.48 |
-22.4% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
59 |
0.250 |
$14.65 |
$-5.35 |
-26.7% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
No |
69 |
0.210 |
$14.54 |
$-15.46 |
-51.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
62 |
0.202 |
$12.62 |
$-7.38 |
-36.9% |
| Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? |
No |
42 |
0.260 |
$10.83 |
$-9.17 |
-45.8% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.090 |
$9.77 |
$-30.23 |
-75.6% |