| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,311 |
0.760 |
$1,756.28 |
$190.10 |
+12.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
183 |
0.470 |
$85.93 |
$-14.07 |
-14.1% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? |
No |
106 |
0.421 |
$44.50 |
$-5.50 |
-11.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
109 |
0.395 |
$42.93 |
$-7.07 |
-14.1% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
No |
62 |
0.495 |
$30.94 |
$10.94 |
+54.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
96 |
0.310 |
$29.70 |
$-10.30 |
-25.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
42 |
0.660 |
$27.73 |
$2.73 |
+10.9% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
No |
69 |
0.365 |
$25.27 |
$-4.73 |
-15.8% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: August |
Something |
133 |
0.180 |
$24.00 |
$4.00 |
+20.0% |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? |
No |
59 |
0.395 |
$23.24 |
$3.24 |
+16.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
53 |
0.440 |
$23.16 |
$3.16 |
+15.8% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
No |
53 |
0.430 |
$22.63 |
$2.63 |
+13.2% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
No |
30 |
0.710 |
$21.19 |
$1.19 |
+6.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
43 |
0.461 |
$19.81 |
$-0.19 |
-1.0% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
43 |
0.465 |
$19.79 |
$-0.21 |
-1.1% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.155 |
$18.88 |
$-11.12 |
-37.1% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August? |
No |
72 |
0.250 |
$18.04 |
$-1.96 |
-9.8% |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? |
No |
73 |
0.245 |
$17.94 |
$-2.06 |
-10.3% |
| Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in August? |
No |
43 |
0.380 |
$16.16 |
$6.16 |
+61.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.150 |
$15.79 |
$-4.21 |
-21.1% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
59 |
0.245 |
$14.36 |
$-5.64 |
-28.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
62 |
0.200 |
$12.50 |
$-7.50 |
-37.5% |
| Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? |
No |
42 |
0.260 |
$10.83 |
$-9.17 |
-45.8% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.090 |
$9.77 |
$-30.23 |
-75.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
53 |
0.177 |
$9.42 |
$-10.58 |
-52.9% |