winyin
0x081fc8c361ba4bc39893ea3104e90ce2f71cbf8f
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+22.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
3W / 0L
Trades (30d)
3
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$5.46
avg win $5
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $43 · all-time $26,285
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
62.1%
18W/11L
|
26 |
$294 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
100.0%
2W/0L
|
2 |
$53 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? |
No |
20 |
0.880 |
$17.60 |
$0.40 |
+2.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? |
No |
15 |
0.870 |
$13.05 |
$0.75 |
+6.1% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
25 |
0.275 |
$6.88 |
$0.75 |
+12.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
44 |
0.095 |
$4.14 |
$-5.86 |
-58.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 7? |
Yes |
8 |
0.135 |
$1.08 |
$0.12 |
+12.5% |