PnL (30d)

−$2

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

18W / 11L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

22W / 11L

Trades (30d)

33

across 23 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.12

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.86

$15 won / $17 lost

Reward / Risk

0.53

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.1% 18W/11L	23	$263
🌤 Weather	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$52

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?	No	20	0.850	$17.00	$-0.20	-1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?	No	15	0.815	$12.22	$-0.08	-0.6%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	25	0.275	$6.88	$0.75	+12.2%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	44	0.095	$4.14	$-5.86	-58.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	8	0.120	$0.96	$0.00	+0.0%