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Trader leaderboard/reid99

reid99

0x07ee6c054c1c6934ca618b7420a304f5b9b38dfe
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$299
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$84
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
23W / 76L · 442 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
389W / 149L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
541
across 44 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$33.21
avg win $6 · loss $38
Profit Factor
0.02
$6 won / $305 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$125
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,378 · all-time $228,109

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 14.4% 25W/149L 78 $3,944
🏛 Politics 40.7% 24W/35L 34 $1,473
⚽ Sports 1 $19
🎬 Culture 1 $19

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 8,800 0.021 $188.32 $-113.17 -37.5%
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? No 148 0.952 $141.20 $21.61 +18.1%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 80 0.848 $67.85 $1.24 +1.9%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 80 0.790 $63.20 $2.71 +4.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 400 0.143 $57.40 $9.65 +20.2%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 4,400 0.011 $50.60 $-5.78 -10.2%
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? Yes 80 0.545 $43.60 $-1.45 -3.2%
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30? Yes 117 0.360 $42.20 $-6.14 -12.7%
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? Yes 125 0.315 $39.37 $-12.26 -23.7%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 80 0.445 $35.60 $1.04 +3.0%
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? Yes 122 0.255 $31.19 $-8.03 -20.5%
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No 40 0.690 $27.60 $-0.60 -2.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No 40 0.518 $20.73 $1.28 +6.6%
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 60 0.304 $18.27 $7.52 +69.9%
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No 20 0.884 $17.69 $0.13 +0.7%
Will Sam Surridge win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes 134 0.130 $17.34 $13.72 +378.9%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 100 0.165 $16.45 $12.69 +337.0%
Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? Yes 40 0.410 $16.40 $-1.80 -9.9%
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes 20 0.775 $15.50 $1.66 +12.0%
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No 20 0.755 $15.10 $0.70 +4.9%
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes 139 0.106 $14.77 $10.01 +210.3%
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No 20 0.680 $13.60 $-0.60 -4.2%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 3,600 0.004 $12.60 $-13.28 -51.3%
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No 22 0.525 $11.69 $-0.02 -0.2%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes 40 0.285 $11.40 $-1.20 -9.6%