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Trader leaderboard/reid99

reid99

0x07ee6c054c1c6934ca618b7420a304f5b9b38dfe
PnL (30d)
−$600
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$127
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-30.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
25W / 149L · 587 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
450W / 308L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
761
across 78 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$37.53
avg win $5 · loss $44
Profit Factor
0.02
$10 won / $610 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$227
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,371 · all-time $228,102

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 14.4% 25W/149L 78 $3,936
🏛 Politics 40.7% 24W/35L 34 $1,465
⚽ Sports 1 $19
🎬 Culture 1 $19

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 8,800 0.025 $215.60 $-85.89 -28.5%
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? No 148 0.949 $140.76 $21.17 +17.7%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 80 0.837 $66.97 $0.36 +0.5%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 80 0.795 $63.60 $3.11 +5.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 400 0.143 $57.40 $9.65 +20.2%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 4,400 0.011 $50.60 $-5.78 -10.2%
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? Yes 80 0.555 $44.40 $-0.65 -1.4%
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30? Yes 117 0.360 $42.20 $-6.14 -12.7%
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? Yes 125 0.315 $39.37 $-12.26 -23.7%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 80 0.445 $35.60 $1.04 +3.0%
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? Yes 122 0.260 $31.80 $-7.42 -18.9%
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No 40 0.675 $27.00 $-1.20 -4.3%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No 40 0.518 $20.73 $1.28 +6.6%
Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? Yes 40 0.505 $20.20 $2.00 +11.0%
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 60 0.304 $18.27 $7.52 +69.9%
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No 20 0.884 $17.69 $0.13 +0.7%
Will Sam Surridge win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes 134 0.130 $17.34 $13.72 +378.9%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 100 0.164 $16.35 $12.59 +334.4%
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes 20 0.775 $15.50 $1.66 +12.0%
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No 20 0.755 $15.10 $0.70 +4.9%
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes 139 0.106 $14.77 $10.01 +210.3%
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No 20 0.680 $13.60 $-0.60 -4.2%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 3,600 0.004 $12.60 $-13.28 -51.3%
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No 22 0.525 $11.69 $-0.02 -0.2%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes 40 0.285 $11.40 $-1.20 -9.6%