| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.925 |
$925.00 |
$50.87 |
+5.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.935 |
$841.12 |
$85.91 |
+11.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
900 |
0.930 |
$837.45 |
$31.32 |
+3.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.775 |
$774.99 |
$41.00 |
+5.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.915 |
$732.01 |
$45.01 |
+6.6% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
700 |
0.915 |
$640.50 |
$21.79 |
+3.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
800 |
0.675 |
$540.01 |
$79.53 |
+17.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.885 |
$442.50 |
$51.07 |
+13.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
541 |
0.755 |
$408.22 |
$17.31 |
+4.4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.815 |
$407.45 |
$60.45 |
+17.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
486 |
0.815 |
$396.38 |
$6.28 |
+1.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
500 |
0.790 |
$395.01 |
$-18.44 |
-4.5% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
500 |
0.745 |
$372.77 |
$55.45 |
+17.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
525 |
0.705 |
$370.23 |
$5.89 |
+1.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.855 |
$342.00 |
$68.00 |
+24.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.925 |
$323.75 |
$16.52 |
+5.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.645 |
$322.50 |
$55.50 |
+20.8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
342 |
0.905 |
$309.96 |
$34.69 |
+12.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
321 |
0.964 |
$309.85 |
$31.43 |
+11.3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
No |
300 |
0.989 |
$296.55 |
$14.55 |
+5.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.987 |
$295.93 |
$16.95 |
+6.1% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
351 |
0.815 |
$285.77 |
$-4.66 |
-1.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
450 |
0.630 |
$283.50 |
$129.81 |
+84.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.565 |
$282.46 |
$6.45 |
+2.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
400 |
0.695 |
$277.96 |
$1.96 |
+0.7% |