| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.925 |
$925.00 |
$50.87 |
+5.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.935 |
$841.12 |
$85.91 |
+11.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
900 |
0.931 |
$837.90 |
$31.77 |
+3.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.775 |
$774.99 |
$41.00 |
+5.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.915 |
$732.01 |
$45.01 |
+6.6% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
700 |
0.915 |
$640.50 |
$21.79 |
+3.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
800 |
0.675 |
$540.01 |
$79.53 |
+17.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.885 |
$442.50 |
$51.07 |
+13.0% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
425 |
0.959 |
$407.58 |
$60.93 |
+17.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
541 |
0.750 |
$405.51 |
$14.61 |
+3.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.805 |
$402.50 |
$55.50 |
+16.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
486 |
0.815 |
$396.38 |
$6.28 |
+1.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
500 |
0.790 |
$395.01 |
$-18.44 |
-4.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
650 |
0.590 |
$383.50 |
$161.50 |
+72.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
500 |
0.745 |
$372.77 |
$55.45 |
+17.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.855 |
$342.00 |
$68.00 |
+24.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.845 |
$338.01 |
$34.94 |
+11.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.655 |
$327.50 |
$60.50 |
+22.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
450 |
0.725 |
$326.26 |
$14.76 |
+4.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.925 |
$323.75 |
$16.52 |
+5.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
450 |
0.695 |
$312.70 |
$-6.29 |
-2.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
342 |
0.905 |
$309.96 |
$34.69 |
+12.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
321 |
0.964 |
$309.69 |
$31.27 |
+11.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
No |
300 |
0.988 |
$296.40 |
$14.40 |
+5.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.987 |
$295.93 |
$16.95 |
+6.1% |