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Trader leaderboard/redubiso

redubiso

0x073124a8f2884c9cf75fe37e01f87ae906035194
PnL (30d)
−$210
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$48
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
4W / 19L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
15W / 31L
Trades (30d)
46
across 33 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$19.09
avg win $10 · loss $30
Profit Factor
0.12
$29 won / $239 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$215
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $972 · all-time $1,198,754

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 17.4% 4W/19L 33 $2,503
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $233
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $198
₿ Crypto 1 $75
⚽ Sports 1 $50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 117 0.845 $99.02 $24.02 +32.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 106 0.545 $57.98 $7.98 +16.0%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 77 0.715 $55.00 $5.00 +10.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? Yes 62 0.770 $47.67 $-2.33 -4.7%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 130 0.357 $46.36 $-3.64 -7.3%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? Yes 248 0.185 $45.90 $-4.10 -8.2%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 44 0.967 $42.94 $17.94 +71.8%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 92 0.465 $42.85 $-7.15 -14.3%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 33 0.931 $30.90 $0.90 +3.0%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 30 0.905 $27.59 $2.59 +10.4%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 28 0.927 $25.82 $0.82 +3.3%
US military draft authorized in 2026? No 26 0.954 $25.07 $0.07 +0.3%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 28 0.875 $24.86 $-0.14 -0.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 28 0.875 $24.58 $-0.42 -1.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 27 0.865 $23.76 $-1.24 -4.9%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 25 0.962 $23.75 $3.75 +18.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 22 0.925 $20.79 $0.79 +3.9%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 22 0.915 $20.33 $0.33 +1.7%
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No 22 0.928 $20.18 $0.18 +0.9%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 21 0.945 $20.11 $0.11 +0.5%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 22 0.885 $19.89 $-0.11 -0.6%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? No 24 0.775 $18.90 $-1.10 -5.5%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 18 0.895 $16.17 $1.17 +7.8%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 16 0.987 $15.98 $0.98 +6.5%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 16 0.942 $15.09 $0.09 +0.6%