| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
117 |
0.845 |
$99.02 |
$24.02 |
+32.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
106 |
0.545 |
$57.98 |
$7.98 |
+16.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
77 |
0.715 |
$55.00 |
$5.00 |
+10.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
130 |
0.356 |
$46.30 |
$-3.70 |
-7.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
248 |
0.185 |
$45.90 |
$-4.10 |
-8.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? |
Yes |
62 |
0.715 |
$44.27 |
$-5.73 |
-11.5% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
44 |
0.969 |
$43.01 |
$18.01 |
+72.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
92 |
0.460 |
$42.44 |
$-7.56 |
-15.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
33 |
0.930 |
$30.88 |
$0.88 |
+2.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.905 |
$27.59 |
$2.59 |
+10.4% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
28 |
0.924 |
$25.74 |
$0.74 |
+3.0% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.954 |
$25.07 |
$0.07 |
+0.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
28 |
0.875 |
$24.58 |
$-0.42 |
-1.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
28 |
0.865 |
$24.57 |
$-0.43 |
-1.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.964 |
$23.79 |
$3.79 |
+19.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
27 |
0.850 |
$23.35 |
$-1.65 |
-6.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.925 |
$20.79 |
$0.79 |
+3.9% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? |
No |
22 |
0.952 |
$20.70 |
$0.70 |
+3.5% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.915 |
$20.33 |
$0.33 |
+1.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.945 |
$20.11 |
$0.11 |
+0.5% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
No |
22 |
0.885 |
$19.89 |
$-0.11 |
-0.6% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.785 |
$19.15 |
$-0.85 |
-4.3% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.905 |
$16.36 |
$1.36 |
+9.0% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
16 |
0.987 |
$15.98 |
$0.98 |
+6.5% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.942 |
$15.09 |
$0.09 |
+0.6% |