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Trader leaderboard/0x070800b57eA1606DeE46b649e7B5a1767A15f218-1773554899856

0x070800b57eA1606DeE46b649e7B5a1767A15f218-1773554899856

0x070800b57ea1606dee46b649e7b5a1767a15f218
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$10
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-42.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
6%
12W / 188L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
6%
12W / 188L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
201
across 12 markets · ~17 per market
EV / position
−$0.90
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.16
$2 won / $12 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$17
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,602 · all-time $104,865

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 30.8% 119W/267L 99 $257
🏛 Politics 50.0% 1W/1L 6 $5
🎬 Culture 75.0% 3W/1L 2 $6
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $3
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/5L 2 $8
₿ Crypto 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

43 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 97 0.065 $6.33 $-6.04 -48.8%
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes 62 0.093 $5.74 $-3.99 -41.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 74 0.034 $2.51 $-4.07 -61.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes 81 0.028 $2.23 $-7.50 -77.1%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? Yes 24 0.060 $1.43 $-3.57 -71.4%
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes 104 0.011 $1.09 $-1.72 -61.2%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%? Yes 75 0.014 $1.05 $0.68 +180.0%
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 28 0.038 $1.05 $-1.47 -58.3%
Will Veneziano Vital do Rêgo win the Governor of Paraíba election? Yes 95 0.009 $0.91 $-1.11 -55.1%
Obama arrested before 2027? Yes 24 0.033 $0.79 $0.10 +13.8%
Will Mike Pence be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 59 0.012 $0.71 $0.06 +9.1%
Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch No 50 0.014 $0.69 $0.20 +40.0%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30? Yes 14 0.043 $0.60 $-0.39 -39.3%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes 39 0.014 $0.55 $-1.42 -72.0%
OPEC dissolves in 2026? Yes 10 0.055 $0.54 $-0.45 -45.0%
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes 81 0.006 $0.49 $-0.65 -57.1%
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 2 0.202 $0.40 $-0.35 -46.7%
Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 67 0.006 $0.40 $-0.39 -49.4%
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 4 0.088 $0.36 $-0.09 -20.7%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31? Yes 16 0.021 $0.35 $-0.14 -28.7%
Will New People win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 51 0.005 $0.28 $-0.49 -63.3%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 495 0.001 $0.25 $-0.74 -75.0%
Will Sébastien Chenu be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? Yes 53 0.004 $0.24 $0.03 +12.5%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? Yes 75 0.003 $0.23 $-1.12 -83.3%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? Yes 85 0.003 $0.21 $-4.63 -95.6%