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Trader leaderboard/ASteroide

ASteroide

0x05c611fd744bf70187565444f63c5dc02342d823
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-22.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
4W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
44%
4W / 5L
Trades (30d)
9
across 9 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.68
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.59
$9 won / $15 lost
Reward / Risk
0.74
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,071 · all-time $1,153,412

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.2% 41W/26L 72 $8,331
🌤 Weather 100.0% 3W/0L 3 $9
🏛 Politics 1 $4,230
₿ Crypto 1 $12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

74 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 15,911 0.595 $9,467.21 $-7.57 -0.1%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 19,222 0.405 $7,785.03 $288.33 +3.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 7,400 0.945 $6,993.05 $628.60 +9.9%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 4,084 0.886 $3,620.80 $-56.89 -1.5%
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 585 0.290 $169.67 $-286.68 -62.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No 108 0.832 $89.41 $-10.59 -10.6%
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 53 0.968 $51.49 $1.49 +3.0%
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? No 51 0.970 $49.26 $-0.74 -1.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 57 0.696 $39.45 $-10.55 -21.1%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 50 0.775 $39.00 $19.00 +95.0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 34 0.963 $32.58 $2.58 +8.6%
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 31 0.959 $29.52 $-0.48 -1.6%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 29 0.900 $26.47 $16.47 +164.7%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 32 0.795 $25.24 $5.24 +26.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 37 0.670 $24.63 $-0.37 -1.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 32 0.735 $23.56 $-1.44 -5.8%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 27 0.845 $23.15 $3.15 +15.8%
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 22 0.950 $21.35 $1.35 +6.7%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 22 0.962 $21.17 $1.17 +5.8%
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 22 0.934 $20.09 $0.09 +0.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 25 0.805 $20.04 $0.04 +0.2%
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 21 0.962 $19.96 $-0.04 -0.2%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No 22 0.865 $19.44 $-0.56 -2.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 22 0.865 $19.08 $4.08 +27.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 21 0.887 $18.98 $-1.02 -5.1%