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Trader leaderboard/Red781RuM

Red781RuM

0x04bf21c2527ae8d54a2f713a6420c608366c7caf
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,910
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$200
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
9W / 16L · 56 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
43W / 38L
Trades (30d)
81
across 23 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$238.78
avg win $46 · loss $410
Profit Factor
0.07
$139 won / $2,049 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,522 · all-time $1,574,477

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 32.4% 61W/127L 90 $46,088
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 10 $2,809
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $1,490
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 6 $3,135
🏛 Politics 6 $2,178
🤖 Tech 2 $257

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

74 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 17,621 0.910 $16,035.47 $7,029.60 +78.1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 17,126 0.365 $6,251.04 $-5,064.13 -44.8%
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes 5,478 0.695 $3,806.51 $176.32 +4.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 3,000 0.835 $2,504.99 $135.00 +5.7%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.954 $1,907.00 $247.00 +14.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,111 0.885 $1,868.21 $15.10 +0.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,007 0.845 $1,695.80 $261.61 +18.2%
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? No 1,731 0.910 $1,575.10 $103.77 +7.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.765 $1,530.00 $-20.00 -1.3%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No 2,028 0.715 $1,450.02 $332.06 +29.7%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1,500 0.915 $1,372.50 $187.50 +15.8%
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No 1,545 0.865 $1,336.39 $158.45 +13.5%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? No 1,944 0.665 $1,292.99 $37.84 +3.0%
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No 1,334 0.945 $1,260.55 $165.08 +15.1%
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No 1,556 0.810 $1,260.14 $149.44 +13.5%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? No 1,498 0.780 $1,168.70 $-92.56 -7.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 1,250 0.925 $1,156.25 $43.75 +3.9%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? Yes 1,113 0.953 $1,060.58 $128.67 +13.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,250 0.840 $1,050.00 $25.00 +2.4%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No 1,005 0.950 $954.25 $39.70 +4.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 1,500 0.615 $922.50 $-247.50 -21.2%
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,019 0.905 $922.07 $137.17 +17.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 1,000 0.915 $915.00 $385.00 +72.6%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 1,000 0.905 $905.00 $125.00 +16.0%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No 1,010 0.825 $833.25 $45.45 +5.8%