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Trader leaderboard/Red781RuM

Red781RuM

0x04bf21c2527ae8d54a2f713a6420c608366c7caf
PnL (30d)
−$3,644
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$114
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
32%
61W / 127L · 279 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
223W / 242L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
467
across 90 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$88.87
avg win $168 · loss $334
Profit Factor
0.48
$3,364 won / $7,008 lost
Reward / Risk
0.50
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$829
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,522 · all-time $1,574,477

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 32.4% 61W/127L 90 $46,088
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 10 $2,809
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $1,490
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 6 $3,135
🏛 Politics 6 $2,178
🤖 Tech 2 $257

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

74 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 17,621 0.905 $15,947.36 $6,941.49 +77.1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 17,126 0.365 $6,251.04 $-5,064.13 -44.8%
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes 5,478 0.695 $3,806.51 $176.32 +4.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 3,000 0.845 $2,534.99 $165.00 +7.0%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.954 $1,907.00 $247.00 +14.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,111 0.885 $1,868.21 $15.10 +0.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,007 0.845 $1,695.80 $261.61 +18.2%
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? No 1,731 0.910 $1,575.10 $103.77 +7.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.760 $1,520.00 $-30.00 -1.9%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No 2,028 0.710 $1,439.88 $321.92 +28.8%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1,500 0.915 $1,372.50 $187.50 +15.8%
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No 1,545 0.860 $1,328.67 $150.73 +12.8%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? No 1,944 0.670 $1,302.71 $47.56 +3.8%
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No 1,334 0.945 $1,260.55 $165.08 +15.1%
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No 1,556 0.810 $1,260.14 $149.44 +13.5%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? No 1,498 0.775 $1,161.21 $-100.06 -7.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 1,250 0.925 $1,156.25 $43.75 +3.9%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? Yes 1,113 0.955 $1,062.81 $130.90 +14.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,250 0.830 $1,037.50 $12.50 +1.2%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No 1,005 0.946 $950.73 $36.18 +4.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 1,500 0.625 $937.50 $-232.50 -19.9%
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,019 0.905 $922.07 $137.17 +17.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 1,000 0.915 $915.00 $385.00 +72.6%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 1,000 0.905 $905.00 $125.00 +16.0%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No 1,010 0.825 $833.25 $45.45 +5.8%