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Trader leaderboard/48xsds

48xsds

0x0446942df9d24b9a7de25eac318a129c1714cc69
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$10
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$25
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
29W / 99L · 650 open
Win Return (30d)
27%
210W / 562L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
778
across 113 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$0.57
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.50
$10 won / $20 lost
Reward / Risk
0.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,420 · all-time $328,924

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 26.7% 242W/663L 867 $4,898
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/5L 109 $281
🏛 Politics 12.5% 1W/7L 72 $231
🎬 Culture 42.9% 3W/4L 35 $66
💵 Economy 66.7% 2W/1L 34 $113
₿ Crypto 6 $15
🤖 Tech 4 $9
🌤 Weather 2 $3
🔬 Science 2 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

139 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No 98 0.665 $65.14 $59.29 +1013.0%
Theo James announced as next James Bond? Yes 100 0.284 $28.50 $27.54 +2861.3%
Will Mason Woodward win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? Yes 37 0.454 $16.80 $16.00 +2005.1%
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-08? No 33 0.495 $16.40 $16.16 +6621.9%
Will Lamar Jackson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? Yes 32 0.402 $12.69 $12.39 +4115.2%
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027? Yes 107 0.110 $11.69 $10.50 +886.6%
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond? Yes 69 0.167 $11.56 $11.23 +3437.4%
Will Lamine Yamal be on the cover of EA Sports FC 27? Yes 44 0.262 $11.54 $9.88 +597.7%
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27? Yes 55 0.201 $10.97 $10.39 +1816.4%
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? No 14 0.650 $9.43 $4.64 +97.0%
Will Jackson Ragen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 24 0.359 $8.49 $8.11 +2124.8%
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Carolina Panthers in 2026-27? Yes 33 0.249 $8.16 $7.39 +959.3%
Will Sandy Brondello win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 90 0.076 $6.84 $5.85 +590.9%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be on the cover of EA Sports FC 27? Yes 18 0.378 $6.61 $6.08 +1158.3%
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.595 $6.27 $1.28 +25.6%
Will George Pickens play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27? Yes 30 0.208 $6.24 $6.18 +10299.8%
Will USD/KRW hit 1300 (Low) in 2026? Yes 14 0.430 $6.12 $1.85 +43.3%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.805 $6.12 $2.32 +61.0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Up 22 0.275 $6.06 $5.03 +488.5%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? No 8 0.756 $6.01 $3.26 +118.6%
Will Sean Johnson win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 14 0.422 $5.92 $5.83 +6941.7%
Will Rodri be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year? No 7 0.830 $5.88 $1.42 +31.7%
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? Yes 9 0.625 $5.86 $0.87 +17.3%
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027? No 7 0.875 $5.81 $1.76 +43.4%
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 89 0.065 $5.78 $1.35 +30.5%