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Trader leaderboard/48xsds

48xsds

0x0446942df9d24b9a7de25eac318a129c1714cc69
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$22
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
37%
46W / 78L · 467 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
377W / 205L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
591
across 127 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.08
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.86
$7 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
0.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,475 · all-time $328,978

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 26.7% 242W/663L 867 $4,898
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/5L 109 $281
🏛 Politics 12.5% 1W/7L 72 $231
🎬 Culture 42.9% 3W/4L 35 $66
💵 Economy 66.7% 2W/1L 34 $113
₿ Crypto 6 $15
🤖 Tech 4 $9
🌤 Weather 2 $3
🔬 Science 2 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

140 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No 98 0.675 $66.12 $60.27 +1029.7%
Theo James announced as next James Bond? Yes 100 0.241 $24.25 $23.28 +2419.0%
Will Mason Woodward win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? Yes 37 0.452 $16.72 $15.93 +1995.8%
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-08? No 33 0.495 $16.40 $16.16 +6621.9%
Will Lamar Jackson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? Yes 32 0.402 $12.70 $12.40 +4120.5%
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027? Yes 107 0.110 $11.69 $10.50 +886.6%
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond? Yes 69 0.169 $11.66 $11.33 +3469.2%
Will Lamine Yamal be on the cover of EA Sports FC 27? Yes 44 0.262 $11.54 $9.88 +597.7%
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27? Yes 55 0.201 $10.97 $10.39 +1816.4%
Will George Pickens play for New England Patriots in 2026-27? Yes 46 0.218 $10.01 $9.86 +6557.5%
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? No 14 0.655 $9.50 $4.71 +98.5%
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Carolina Panthers in 2026-27? Yes 33 0.249 $8.16 $7.39 +959.3%
Will Jackson Ragen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 24 0.327 $7.72 $7.34 +1923.4%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be on the cover of EA Sports FC 27? Yes 18 0.378 $6.61 $6.08 +1158.3%
Will George Pickens play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27? Yes 54 0.120 $6.45 $5.55 +612.1%
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.590 $6.22 $1.23 +24.6%
Will USD/KRW hit 1300 (Low) in 2026? Yes 14 0.430 $6.12 $1.85 +43.3%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.805 $6.12 $2.32 +61.0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Up 22 0.275 $6.06 $5.03 +488.5%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? No 8 0.756 $6.01 $3.26 +118.6%
Will Rodri be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year? No 7 0.830 $5.88 $1.42 +31.7%
Will Sean Johnson win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 14 0.418 $5.86 $5.78 +6875.0%
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027? No 7 0.875 $5.81 $1.76 +43.4%
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 89 0.065 $5.78 $1.35 +30.5%
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? Yes 9 0.615 $5.77 $0.77 +15.4%