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Trader leaderboard/vaxastadnyk

vaxastadnyk

0x03f74c9cafb0f09a3d0c7cd2286778fe0e5ac0cc
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$100
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$39
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
161W / 172L · 28 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
174W / 174L · 13 open
Trades (30d)
361
across 69 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$1.62
avg win $91 · loss $140
Profit Factor
1.03
$3,455 won / $3,355 lost
Reward / Risk
0.65
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$425
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $36,516 · all-time $2,756,245

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.4% 243W/249L 115 $23,639
⚽ Sports 64.9% 24W/13L 11 $3,414
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 5 $1,369

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 362 1.000 $361.44 $25.13 +7.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 799 0.271 $216.23 $-19.61 -8.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,400 0.117 $163.10 $-63.90 -28.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 500 0.278 $138.75 $105.75 +320.5%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 582 0.185 $107.69 $-36.59 -25.4%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 450 0.210 $94.50 $-142.50 -60.1%
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? Yes 121 0.765 $92.45 $13.28 +16.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 397 0.185 $73.46 $-124.15 -62.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes 500 0.145 $72.50 $-25.50 -26.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.225 $67.50 $-16.50 -19.6%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.300 $60.00 $-60.00 -50.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 200 0.255 $51.00 $-43.00 -45.7%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 100 0.455 $45.50 $2.50 +5.8%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? No 3,000 0.013 $40.50 $-136.50 -77.1%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 400 0.095 $38.00 $-22.00 -36.7%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,000 0.028 $27.50 $17.50 +175.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 500 0.044 $22.25 $-1.25 -5.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? Yes 1,000 0.013 $13.50 $-58.00 -81.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? No 2,200 0.001 $2.20 $-207.80 -99.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? No 2,009 0.001 $1.00 $-570.39 -99.8%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5) Atlanta Braves 3 0.185 $0.56 $0.47 +516.5%