PnL (30d)

−$494

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-33.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 9L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

9W / 13L

Trades (30d)

22

across 8 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$247.24

· loss $247

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $494 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$164

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.4% 243W/249L	115	$23,639
⚽ Sports	64.9% 24W/13L	11	$3,414
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	5	$1,369

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	362	0.996	$360.17	$23.87	+7.1%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	799	0.261	$208.24	$-27.60	-11.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,400	0.117	$163.10	$-63.90	-28.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	500	0.278	$138.75	$105.75	+320.5%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	582	0.185	$107.69	$-36.59	-25.4%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	450	0.210	$94.50	$-142.50	-60.1%
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31?	Yes	121	0.775	$93.66	$14.49	+18.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	397	0.195	$77.43	$-120.18	-60.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	500	0.145	$72.50	$-25.50	-26.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	300	0.225	$67.50	$-16.50	-19.6%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	200	0.300	$60.00	$-60.00	-50.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	200	0.255	$51.00	$-43.00	-45.7%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	100	0.455	$45.50	$2.50	+5.8%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	3,000	0.013	$40.50	$-136.50	-77.1%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	400	0.095	$38.00	$-22.00	-36.7%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,000	0.032	$31.50	$21.50	+215.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	500	0.044	$22.25	$-1.25	-5.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	1,000	0.013	$13.50	$-58.00	-81.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	2,200	0.001	$2.20	$-207.80	-99.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	2,009	0.001	$1.00	$-570.39	-99.8%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)	Atlanta Braves	3	0.185	$0.56	$0.47	+516.5%