betjunkie
0x03bec60891f6397d7a9a2d101503c0496064f6d9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$278
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$100
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 5L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
23W / 6L
Trades (30d)
29
across 8 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$138.85
· loss $139
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $278 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $647 · all-time $465,825
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.745 |
$819.50 |
$55.50 |
+7.3% |
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? |
No |
440 |
0.845 |
$371.45 |
$20.58 |
+5.9% |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? |
Yes |
579 |
0.570 |
$330.04 |
$71.00 |
+27.4% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
100 |
0.956 |
$95.55 |
$1.15 |
+1.2% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
100 |
0.885 |
$88.50 |
$27.50 |
+45.1% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
100 |
0.539 |
$53.95 |
$5.60 |
+11.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.925 |
$18.50 |
$0.50 |
+2.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
70 |
0.213 |
$14.94 |
$-6.70 |
-31.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
22 |
0.525 |
$11.55 |
$2.97 |
+34.6% |