betjunkie
0x03bec60891f6397d7a9a2d101503c0496064f6d9
PnL (30d)
−$521
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$148
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
46W / 43L · 38 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
81W / 46L
Trades (30d)
127
across 39 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$17.96
avg win $26 · loss $80
Profit Factor
0.46
$441 won / $962 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$322
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $647 · all-time $465,825
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.745 |
$819.50 |
$55.50 |
+7.3% |
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? |
No |
440 |
0.845 |
$371.45 |
$20.58 |
+5.9% |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? |
Yes |
579 |
0.600 |
$347.47 |
$88.43 |
+34.1% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
100 |
0.956 |
$95.55 |
$1.15 |
+1.2% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
100 |
0.875 |
$87.50 |
$26.50 |
+43.4% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
100 |
0.539 |
$53.95 |
$5.60 |
+11.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.925 |
$18.50 |
$0.50 |
+2.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
70 |
0.213 |
$14.94 |
$-6.70 |
-31.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
22 |
0.515 |
$11.33 |
$2.75 |
+32.1% |