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Trader leaderboard/ProbabilityPundit

ProbabilityPundit

0x0386d0808be0ca56a9aad3f5956774597986e95e
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$34
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-37.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
2W / 8L
Win Return (30d)
20%
2W / 8L
Trades (30d)
10
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$6.72
avg win $0 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.01
$0 won / $34 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $25,854

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.3% 48W/96L 90 $3,841
🌤 Weather 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure