ProbabilityPundit
0x0386d0808be0ca56a9aad3f5956774597986e95e
PnL (30d)
−$515
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-21.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
48W / 96L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
48W / 98L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
148
across 90 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$5.86
avg win $17 · loss $16
Profit Factor
0.48
$469 won / $985 lost
Reward / Risk
1.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$26
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $25,854
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
33.3%
48W/96L
|
90 |
$3,841 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
100.0%
1W/0L
|
1 |
$10 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure