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ConsensusOfCredibleReporting

0x0275ac8f6793cc3ffe90dc1095330e240622b936
PnL (30d)
−$169
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$218
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
1,204W / 1,523L · 1,055 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
1,738W / 2,016L · 28 open
Trades (30d)
3,782
across 1,658 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.15
avg win $4 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.89
$1,376 won / $1,545 lost
Reward / Risk
2.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$120
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,591 · all-time $553,522

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.2% 1,204W/1,523L 1658 $7,366
🏛 Politics 36.0% 9W/16L 65 $251
🎬 Culture 31.2% 15W/33L 47 $160
💵 Economy 58.1% 18W/13L 39 $114
🌤 Weather 44.4% 28W/35L 26 $105
🤖 Tech 73.1% 19W/7L 22 $123
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $14
⚽ Sports 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings? No 86 0.141 $12.03 $9.46 +368.3%
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No 15 0.435 $6.68 $3.15 +89.1%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No 14 0.435 $6.06 $2.58 +74.0%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 63 0.095 $5.97 $2.83 +90.0%
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? Yes 13 0.440 $5.86 $2.40 +69.2%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 37 0.154 $5.69 $2.67 +88.4%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 20 0.280 $5.62 $2.41 +75.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 17 0.320 $5.56 $2.08 +60.0%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? Yes 32 0.155 $5.02 $1.78 +55.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? Yes 14 0.365 $4.98 $2.39 +92.1%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? No 23 0.210 $4.82 $1.60 +50.0%
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 29 0.166 $4.80 $2.52 +110.1%
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M? Yes 15 0.310 $4.72 $1.37 +40.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? No 45 0.105 $4.71 $1.57 +50.0%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? No 15 0.290 $4.48 $0.77 +20.8%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 18 0.241 $4.37 $0.93 +27.1%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? No 21 0.205 $4.36 $1.17 +36.7%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5? Yes 19 0.235 $4.36 $1.02 +30.6%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes 19 0.225 $4.33 $1.06 +32.3%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? Yes 18 0.240 $4.32 $0.90 +26.3%
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? Yes 45 0.095 $4.27 $2.02 +90.0%
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? No 19 0.230 $4.26 $0.86 +25.4%
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes 17 0.254 $4.25 $0.75 +21.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6? Yes 23 0.180 $4.08 $0.68 +20.0%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 24 0.165 $4.04 $0.86 +26.9%