PnL (30d)

−$30

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-84.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 2L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

2W / 5L

Trades (30d)

7

across 5 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$15.00

· loss $15

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $30 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	12.5% 2W/14L	20	$1,136
₿ Crypto	—	2	$140
💵 Economy	—	2	$140
🏛 Politics	—	1	$22

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Yes	691	0.185	$127.81	$-97.49	-43.3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	1,272	0.085	$108.12	$-3.70	-3.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.455	$91.00	$31.00	+51.7%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	269	0.325	$87.42	$-1.03	-1.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	200	0.305	$61.00	$11.00	+22.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	200	0.230	$46.00	$4.00	+9.5%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?	Yes	200	0.220	$43.99	$14.00	+46.7%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	500	0.085	$42.50	$-12.50	-22.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	300	0.105	$31.50	$-43.50	-58.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	400	0.075	$30.00	$-86.00	-74.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	150	0.086	$12.82	$5.17	+67.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	218	0.040	$8.62	$-8.28	-49.0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	500	0.013	$6.50	$-1.50	-18.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	200	0.030	$6.00	$-18.00	-75.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.049	$4.90	$1.00	+25.6%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	22	0.090	$2.02	$-2.02	-50.0%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	392	0.004	$1.57	$-2.04	-56.5%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	351	0.004	$1.23	$-3.98	-76.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	25	0.037	$0.94	$-2.06	-68.8%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	5	0.125	$0.62	$-0.17	-21.9%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	82	0.003	$0.20	$-0.53	-72.2%