PnL (30d)

−$54

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$158

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

2W / 14L · 20 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

12W / 24L

Trades (30d)

36

across 20 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$5.38

avg win $68 · loss $24

Profit Factor

0.72

$136 won / $190 lost

Reward / Risk

2.87

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	12.5% 2W/14L	20	$1,136
₿ Crypto	—	2	$140
💵 Economy	—	2	$140
🏛 Politics	—	1	$22

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Yes	691	0.165	$113.99	$-111.31	-49.4%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	1,272	0.085	$108.12	$-3.70	-3.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.455	$91.00	$31.00	+51.7%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	269	0.325	$87.42	$-1.03	-1.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	200	0.305	$61.00	$11.00	+22.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	200	0.225	$45.00	$3.00	+7.1%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?	Yes	200	0.220	$43.99	$14.00	+46.7%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	500	0.085	$42.50	$-12.50	-22.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	300	0.110	$33.00	$-42.00	-56.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	400	0.075	$30.00	$-86.00	-74.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	150	0.086	$12.82	$5.17	+67.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	218	0.040	$8.62	$-8.28	-49.0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	500	0.015	$7.25	$-0.75	-9.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	200	0.028	$5.50	$-18.50	-77.1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.050	$4.95	$1.05	+26.9%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	22	0.090	$2.02	$-2.02	-50.0%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	392	0.004	$1.77	$-1.84	-51.1%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	351	0.004	$1.23	$-3.98	-76.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	25	0.037	$0.94	$-2.06	-68.8%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	5	0.125	$0.62	$-0.17	-21.9%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	82	0.003	$0.20	$-0.53	-72.2%