topmoon
0x01a5fb1fa13f378138a31382c8364b5d4e2b0e36
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$174
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
51W / 52L
Win Return (30d)
50%
51W / 52L
Trades (30d)
103
across 7 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$24.80
avg win $12 · loss $247
Profit Factor
0.30
$74 won / $247 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$247
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,023 · all-time $492,497
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
528 |
0.860 |
$453.89 |
$-8.89 |
-1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
437 |
0.825 |
$360.61 |
$17.75 |
+5.2% |