PnL (30d)

−$285

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

6W / 14L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

26%

6W / 17L

Trades (30d)

23

across 3 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$142.52

avg win $185 · loss $470

Profit Factor

0.39

$185 won / $470 lost

Reward / Risk

0.39

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.9% 731W/272L	107	$77,933
🌤 Weather	29.7% 22W/52L	5	$2,054
🏛 Politics	100.0% 3W/0L	2	$462
💵 Economy	100.0% 6W/0L	2	$538
🤖 Tech	100.0% 7W/0L	1	$462
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	1	$88

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	528	0.860	$453.89	$-8.89	-1.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	437	0.810	$354.05	$11.19	+3.3%