PnL (30d)

−$578

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

418W / 590L · 91 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

420W / 590L · 89 open

Trades (30d)

1,099

across 192 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$3.42

avg win $20 · loss $15

Profit Factor

0.66

$1,117 won / $1,695 lost

Reward / Risk

1.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$766

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.5% 418W/590L	192	$29,105
🌤 Weather	34.4% 11W/21L	12	$1,467
⚽ Sports	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$50
💵 Economy	—	1	$1,180

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	200	0.550	$110.00	$-14.00	-11.3%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	242	0.345	$83.47	$-72.87	-46.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	285	0.120	$34.16	$-70.88	-67.5%
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	66	0.421	$27.82	$16.97	+156.3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	90	0.245	$22.05	$-3.15	-12.5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	10	1.000	$10.31	$0.31	+3.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	10	1.000	$10.31	$0.31	+3.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	51	0.180	$9.12	$-2.53	-21.7%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	7	0.950	$6.23	$3.08	+97.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	3	1.000	$2.98	$1.22	+69.5%