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Trader

0x00c8ef6895e2fb38b538cac8c08edd6b82289ccd
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$24
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+25.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
2W / 3L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
4W / 8L
Trades (30d)
12
across 7 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$8.01
avg win $25 · loss $0
Profit Factor
29.84
$25 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
59.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $159,421 · all-time $8,799,611

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.2% 4,647W/6,371L 5059 $901,367
₿ Crypto 38.8% 94W/148L 134 $2,485
⚽ Sports 53.7% 65W/56L 69 $57,774
🏛 Politics 30.8% 4W/9L 9 $157
💵 Economy 36.4% 4W/7L 5 $138
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $258
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $105

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

73 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 11,258 0.135 $1,519.83 $-636.60 -29.5%
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 729 0.585 $426.36 $-3.64 -0.8%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 555 0.535 $296.69 $73.90 +33.2%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes 428 0.575 $245.85 $-2.14 -0.9%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 109 0.944 $103.22 $3.23 +3.2%
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 57 0.990 $56.86 $6.87 +13.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 161 0.245 $39.45 $-30.02 -43.2%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 66 0.535 $35.38 $3.64 +11.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 87 0.278 $24.25 $3.33 +15.9%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 27 0.825 $21.89 $1.90 +9.5%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 140 0.155 $21.67 $-47.33 -68.6%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 40 0.539 $21.66 $5.37 +33.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 132 0.155 $20.40 $-3.08 -13.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 114 0.175 $20.00 $8.00 +66.7%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 195 0.095 $18.56 $-24.43 -56.8%
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.815 $16.28 $5.09 +45.5%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No 16 0.949 $15.16 $10.37 +216.4%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.962 $10.58 $0.46 +4.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 136 0.075 $10.18 $-8.82 -46.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 9 1.000 $9.13 $4.11 +81.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 68 0.135 $9.08 $-0.91 -9.1%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No 13 0.655 $8.73 $-0.77 -8.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 8 1.000 $7.76 $3.26 +72.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.545 $6.54 $0.63 +10.6%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 9 0.745 $6.46 $1.41 +28.0%